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decus_20tap1_198111
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decus/20-0020/instru.tuk
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10' NAME--INSTRUCT
20'
30' DESCRIPTION--INSTRUCTIONS FOR USING THE NATIONAL INCOME
32' AND PRODUCT ACCOUNTS REGRESSION PROGRAM, MACRO, WHICH
34' COMPUTES ONE OR MORE MULTIPLE REGRESSIONS ON NATIONAL
36' INCOME ACCOUNT DATA. PROGRAM IS SIMILAR TO STAT21, BUT THE
38' USER IS ABLE TO MANIPULATE THE ACCOUNTS BEFORE RUNNING
40' REGRESSIONS.
50'
60' SOURCE--REVISED 6/26/69 BY D. DOWNES
70'
80' INSTRUCTIONS-- GENERAL - LINE 300
82 SELECTION OF YEARS - LINE 900
84 ADDITION OF ACCOUNTS - LINE 1000
86 SUBTRACTION OF ACCOUNTS - LINE 1200
88 MULTIPLICATION OF ACCOUNTS - LINE 1400
90 DIVISION OF ACCOUNTS - LINE 1600
92 LOGARITHMS - LINE 1800
94 LAGGING ACCOUNTS - LINE 2000
96 FIRST DIFFERENCES - LINE 2200
100'
110' THIS PROGRAM WAS WRITTEN FOR STUDENT USE AT AMOS TUCK SCHOOL
112' OF HANOVER, N.H. WHICH DOES NOT ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR
114' ITS ACCURACY.
120'
130' * * * * * * * * * * MAIN PROGRAM * * * * * * * * * * * *
140'
280 ***************GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS***************
290 21 YEARS DATA(1948-1968) FOR 28 NATIONAL INCOME & PRODUCT ACCOUNTS
300 ARE STORED IN THE DATA LINES OF MACRO. THIS DATA IS ENTERED
310 BY ACCOUNT (I.E. GNP FOR 21 YEARS IS IN LINES 9011 TO 9013).
320 A LIST OF THE ACCOUNTS USED CAN BE FOUND BEGINNING IN LINE 3000
330 OF THESE INSTRUCTIONS. AN INDEX NUMBER PRECEDES EACH ACCOUNT
340 TITLE.
350
360 THE USER MAY REPLACE ACCOUNTS IN THE DATA WITH ACCOUNTS OF HIS
370 OWN CHOOSING. THE PROGRAM IS DIMENSIONED TO THE MAXIMUM ALLOWABLE
380 AND NO ACCOUNTS CAN BE ADDED. IF EXISTING ACCOUNTS ARE REPLACED
390 BY NEW ACCOUNTS, THEY RETAIN THE INDEX NUMBERS OF THE EXISTING
400 ACCOUNTS. BE SURE THAT 21 YEARS OBSERVATIONS ARE ENTERED FOR
410 EACH NEW ACCOUNT AND THAT ALL OF THE OBSERVATIONS OF THE OLD
420 ACCOUNT ARE ERASED (LINE NUMBERS FOR EACH ACCOUNT ARE LISTED
430 STARTING IN LINE 3000 OF THESE INSTRUCTIONS).
440
450 DURING EXECUTION, THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE NUMBER OF
460 REGRESSIONS YOU WISH TO RUN. NEXT IT WILL ASK FOR THE YEARS
470 WHICH YOU WISH TO USE. THE PROGRAM WILL RUN THE NUMBER OF RE-
480 GRESSIONS WHICH YOU FURNISH IN RESPONSE TO THE FIRST QUESTION
490 USING THE SET OF YEARS WHICH YOU FURNISH IN RESPONSE TO THE
500 SECOND QUESTION. YOU ARE NOT ABLE TO CHANGE THE YEARS FOR
510 EACH REGRESSION, HOWEVER YOU ARE ABLE TO TRANSFORM THE DATA
520 FOR EACH REGRESSION.
530
540 THE PROGRAM ALLOWS THE TRANSFORMATION OF THE DATA IN FOUR WAYS:
550 (1) ARITHMETIC OPERATIONS (ADDITION, SUBTRACTION, MULTIPLICATION
560 AND DIVISION), (2) CONVERSION TO LOGARITHMS, (3) LAGGING
570 ACCOUNTS ONE YEAR, AND (4) FIRST DIFFERENCES. FURTHERMORE YOU ARE
580 ABLE TO VARY THE ORDER IN WHICH THE ARITHMETIC OPERATIONS ARE
590 CARRIED OUT. DURING EXECUTION, THE PROGRAM WILL ASK WHETHER YOU
600 WISH TO TRANSFORM THE DATA. IF YOU TYPE YES, THE PROGRAM WILL
610 DIRECT YOU TO "TYPE IN THE SWITCHES?". EACH TRANSFORMATION IS
620 CONTROLLED SEPARATELY WITH AN OFF-ON SWITCH: IF YOU WANT TO PER-
630 FORM THE OPERATION ENTER 1, IF YOU DON'T ENTER 0(ZERO). TYPE IN
640 THE SWITCHES IN THE SAME ORDER AS THE OPERATIONS ARE LISTED IN
650 LINES 550 AND 560, ABOVE. THUS, IF YOU WANT TO ADD THREE ACCOUNTS,
660 DIVIDE TWO ACCOUNTS AND TAKE FIRST DIFFERENCES, BUT DO NOT WANT
670 TO CONVERT TO LOGS OR LAG ANY ACCOUNTS, YOU SHOULD RESPOND AS
680 FOLLOWS:
690 TYPE IN THE SWITCHES? 1,0,0,1
700 IF A 1 IS ENTERED IN THE FIRST POSITION OF THE SWITCH INPUT,
710 THE PROGRAM ALLOWS YOU TO VARY THE ORDER OF THE ARITHMETIC
720 OPERATIONS BY REQUESTING YOU TO INPUT A CODE FOR EACH OPERATION
730 IN THE ORDER YOU DESIRE THEM TO BE PERFORMED. THE PROGRAM WILL
740 PRINT "OPERATION 1 IS?" AND YOU SHOULD TYPE ONE OF THE FOLLOWING
750 LETTERS: A - ADDITION
760 S - SUBTRACTION
770 M - MULTIPLICATION
780 D - DIVISION
790 FOR EACH OPERATION YOU MUST INPUT ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
800 AS EXPLAINED BELOW. WHEN ALL ARITHMETIC OPERATIONS ARE COMPLETED,
810 TYPE "END", AND THE PROGRAM WILL CONTINUE TO ANY NONARITHMETIC
820 OPERATIONS REQUESTED. IF YOU TYPE NO TO THE PROGRAM'S QUERY
823 AS TO WHETHER YOU WISH TO TRANSFORM THE DATA, THE SWITCHES WILL
825 REMAIN AS THEY WERE IN THE PREVIOUS REGRESSION (ALL FOUR SWITCHES
827 ARE INITIALIZED AT ZERO FOR THE FIRST REGRESSION).
830
840 NEXT THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE NUMBER OF INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
850 DESIRED. TYPE THE NUMBER AND HIT THE RETURN KEY. THEN
860 THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THESE VARIABLES. ENTER THE INDEX
870 NUMBERS ONE AT A TIME AND HIT THE RETURN KEY AFTER EACH.
880 FOLLOWING THIS OPERATION, YOU WILL BE ASKED TO INPUT THE INDEX
890 NUMBER OF THE DEPENDENT VARIABLE. NO MORE THAN NINE INDEPENDENT
895 VARIABLES ARE ALLOWED.
900
910 ***************SELECTION OF YEARS***************
920 WHEN ASKED FOR THE YEARS WHICH YOU WISH TO USE, ENTER THE FIRST
930 AND LAST YEARS OF THE PERIOD YOU DESIRE AND SEPARATE THEM BY
940 A COMMA. FOR EXAMPLE, TO USE ALL 21 YEARS ENTER "1948,1968".
950 THE NUMBER OF YEARS SELECTED MUST EXCEED THE NUMBER OF INDEPEN-
960 DENT VARIABLES BY MORE THAN TWO. FURTHERMORE, IF YOU ARE TAKING
970 FIRST DIFFERENCES OR LAGGING ACCOUNTS, THE NUMBER OF YEARS
980 SELECTED MUST EXCEED THE NUMBER OF INDEPENDENT VARIABLES BY AN
990 ADDITIONAL FACTOR OF ONE FOR EACH OF THESE ALTERNATIVES.
1000
1010 ***************ADDITION OF ACCOUNTS***************
1020 IF ADDITION IS REQUESTED, THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE NUMBER
1030 OF ACCOUNTS WHICH YOU WISH TO ADD TOGETHER. ENTER THE NUMBER
1040 AND HIT THE RETURN KEY. THE PROGRAM WILL THEN ASK WHICH ACCOUNTS.
1050 ENTER THE INDEX NUMBERS OF THE ACCOUNTS HITTING THE RETURN
1060 KEY AFTER EACH NUMBER. THE INDEX NUMBER OF THE SUMMARY ACCOUNT
1070 WILL BE THE INDEX NUMBER OF THE FIRST ACCOUNT MENTIONED TO BE
1080 SUMMED.
1090
1200 ***************SUBTRACTION OF ACCOUNTS***************
1210 IF SUBTRACTION IS REQUESTED, THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE TWO
1220 ACCOUNTS WHICH YOU WISH TO SUBTRACT. ENTER THE INDEX NUMBERS
1230 OF THE TWO ACCOUNTS, SEPARATING THEM BY A COMMA, AND HIT THE
1240 RETURN KEY. THE FIRST INDEX NUMBER ENTERED IS THE ACCOUNT
1250 FROM WHICH THE SECOND ONE IS SUBTRACTED. THE RESULTS WILL
1260 HAVE THE INDEX NUMBER OF THE FIRST ACCOUNT ENTERED.
1270
1400 ***************MULTIPLICATION OF ACCOUNTS***************
1410 IF MULTIPLICATION IS REQUESTED, THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE
1420 TWO ACCOUNTS WHICH YOU WISH TO MULTIPLY. ENTER THE INDEX
1430 NUMBERS OF THE TWO ACCOUNTS, SEPARATING THEM BY A COMMA, AND
1440 HIT THE RETURN KEY. THE RESULTING AMOUNTS WILL HAVE THE INDEX
1450 NUMBER OF THE FIRST ACCOUNT ENTERED.
1460
1600 ***************DIVISION OF ACCOUNTS***************
1610 IF DIVISION IS REQUESTED, THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE TWO
1620 ACCOUNTS WHICH YOU WISH TO DIVIDE. ENTER THE INDEX NUMBERS OF
1630 THE TWO ACCOUNTS, SEPARATING THEM BY A COMMA, AND HIT THE
1640 RETURN KEY. THE FIRST INDEX NUMBER ENTERED IS THE ACCOUNT
1650 INTO WHICH THE SECOND ONE IS DIVIDED. THE RESULTING AMOUNTS WILL
1660 HAVE THE INDEX NUMBER OF THE FIRST ACCOUNT ENTERED.
1670
1800 ********************LOGARITHMS********************
1810 IF A 1 IS ENTERED IN THE SECOND POSITION OF THE SWITCH INPUT,
1820 THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS WHICH YOU
1830 WISH TO CONVERT TO LOGS. ENTER THE NUMBER AND HIT THE RETURN
1840 KEY. THE PROGRAM WILL THEN ASK WHICH ACCOUNTS. ENTER THE
1850 INDEX NUMBER OF EACH ACCOUNT, HITTING THE RETURN KEY AFTER
1860 EACH. WARNING: ACCOUNTS 8 AND 28 CONTAIN NEGATIVE VALUES.
1870
2000 ***************LAGGING ACCOUNTS***************
2010 IF A 1 IS ENTERED IN THE THIRD POSITION OF THE SWITCH INPUT,
2020 THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS WHICH YOU
2030 WISH TO LAG. (ACCOUNTS CAN ONLY BE LAGGED ONE YEAR.) ENTER
2040 THE NUMBER AND HIT THE RETURN KEY. THE PROGRAM WILL THEN ASK
2050 WHICH ACCOUNTS. ENTER THE INDEX NUMBER OF EACH ACCOUNT, HITTING
2060 THE RETURN KEY AFTER EACH. SINCE THE DATA FOR 1947 IS NOT
2070 INCLUDED IN THIS PROGRAM, ONE YEAR'S DATA WILL BE LOST WHEN
2080 THE PROGRAM IS RUN FOR A SET OF YEARS STARTING WITH 1948.
2090
2200 ***************FIRST DIFFERENCES***************
2210 IF A 1 IS ENTERED IN THE FOURTH POSITION OF THE SWITCH INPUT,
2220 THE PROGRAM WILL ASK FOR THE NUMBER OF ACCOUNTS FOR WHICH YOU
2230 WISH TO TAKE FIRST DIFERENCES (AMOUNTS OBTAINED BY SUBTRACTING
2240 EACH YEAR FROM THE SUCCEEDING YEAR). ENTER THE NUMBER AND
2250 HIT THE RETURN KEY. THE PROGRAM WILL THEN ASK WHICH ACCOUNTS.
2260 ENTER THE INDEX NUMBER OF EACH ACCOUNT, HITTING THE RETURN
2270 KEY AFTER EACH. SINCE THE DATA FOR 1947 IS NOT INCLUDED IN
2280 THIS PROGRAM, ONE YEAR'S DATA WILL BE LOST WHEN THE PROGRAM
2290 IS RUN FOR A SET OF YEARS STARTING WITH 1948.
2300
2310
2320
2330
2340
2350 IF YOU HAVE ANY RECOMMENDATIONS CONCERNING THE OPERATIONS OF
2360 MACRO OR THE ACCOUNTS CONTAINED IN ITS DATA, PLEASE GIVE THEM
2370 TO EUNICE BALLAM IN ROOM 4, TUCK SCHOOL.
2380
2390
2400
2410
2420
3000 ***************LIST OF ACCOUNTS***************
3010
3020 INDEX NO. ACCOUNT LINE NOS.
3030 --------- ------- ---------
3040 1 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 9011-9013
3050 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
3060 2 DURABLE GOODS 9022-9023
3070 3 NONDURABLE GOODS 9026-9028
3080 4 SERVICES 9031-9032
3090 PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
3100 5 NONRESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES 9046-9047
3110 6 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT 9051-9052
3120 7 RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES 9056-9057
3130 8 CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES 9061-9062
3140 9 NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 9071-9072
3150 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES
3160 10 NATIONAL DEFENSE 9082-9083
3170 11 OTHER FEDERAL 9086-9087
3180 12 STATE AND LOCAL 9091-9092
3190 IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS
3200 13 FOR GNP 9111-9113
3210 14 FOR DURABLE GOODS 9126-9127
3220 15 FOR NONDURABLE GOODS 9131-9132
3230 16 FOR SERVICES 9136-9137
3240 17 FOR NONRESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES 9152-9153
3250 18 FOR PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT 9161-9162
3260 19 FOR RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES 9171-9172
3270 20 FOR FEDERAL GOVERNMENT 9182-9183
3280 21 FOR STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS 9191-9192
3290 22 TOTAL DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 9205-9207
3300 23 DPI: INTEREST PAID AND TRANSFER
3310 PAYMENTS TO FOREIGNERS 9211-9212
3320 24 GOV'T TAX & NONTAX RECEIPTS 9221-9223
3330 25 GOV'T TRANSFERS,INTEREST & SUBSIDIES 9231-9232
3340 26 GROSS BUSINESS RETAINED EARNINGS 9241-9242
3350 27 TRANSFERS TO FOREIGNERS 9251-9252
3360 28 STATISTICAL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN
3370 GNP & TOTAL INCOME OR RECEIPTS 9261-9262
3380
3390
3400
3410
3420
3430 **ALL OF THE DOLLAR ACCOUNTS ARE IN CURRENT DOLLARS**
3440
3450 SOURCE OF ACCOUNTS: ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT, JAN 1969